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William Pan Assistant Scientist
Academic Degrees BA (Mathematics and Computer Science) 1994, Boston College MPH (International Health) 1997, Emory University MS (Biostatistics) 1999, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill DrPH (Biostatistics) 2003, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill
Affiliation The Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Department of International Health
Email: wpan@jhsph.edu Phone: 410-502-2141 Fax: 410-502-6733 Research My interests are both methodological and substantive. Methodologically, I am interested in spatial analyses, multilevel models, and multivariate zero-inflated outcomes applied to both cross-sectional and longitudinal data, as well as applications combining survey and remote-sensing data (people to pixels). Substantively, I have been involved in population-environment research to examine the relationship between demographic and economic change resulting in changes in land use and land cover.
Selected Publications Pan, W., and R.E. Bilsborrow (2004). “The use of a multilevel statistical model to analyze factors influencing land use: A study of the Ecuadorian Amazon.” Global and Planetary Change. In press. Carr, D.L., Barbieri, A., Pan, W., and Iravani, H. Agricultural change and limits to deforestation in Central America. In Rural lands, agriculture and climate beyond 2015: Usage and management responses, F. Brouwer and B. McCarl eds. Kluwer Academic Publishers. In-Press. Carr, D.L., W. Pan, R.E. Bilsborrow, C.M. Suchindran (in press). Un análisis de multi-nivel de población y deforestacion en El Parque Nacional Sierra de Lacandón, Petén, Guatemala. In, Dynamicas de Poblacion en el Istmo Centro Americano, L. Rosery-Bixby and A. Pebley eds. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corportation. Pevzner, E., W. Pan, and R. Davis. “Smoking Policies in US Airports: Evidence from the Airport Smoking Policies Study.” Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. In-Press. Pan, W., S. Walsh, R.E. Bilsborrow, B. Frizzelle, C. Erlien, F. Baquero (2004). “Farm-level models of spatial patterns of land use and land cover dynamics in the Ecuadorian Amazon.” Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 101 (2-3). Pan, W., R.E. Bilsborrow, and L. Murphy. “Household socio-demographic and ecological factors affecting land use in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon.” Demography. In-review. Walsh, S.J., Bilsborrow, R.E., McGregor, S.J., Frizzelle, B.G., Messina, J.P., Pan, W.K.T., Crews-Meyer, K.A., Taff, G.N., F. Buquero, F., 2002. Integration of Longitudinal Surveys, Remote Sensing Time-Series, and Spatial Analyses: Approaches for Linking People and Place. In: People and the Environment: Approaches for Linking Household and Community Surveys to Remote Sensing and GIS, J. Fox, R.R. Rindfuss, S.J. Walsh, V. Mishra, eds. Kluwer Academic Publishers: Boston, 91-130. Walsh, S.J., J. Messina, K.A. Crews-Meyer, R.E. Bilsborrow, and W. Pan (2002). Characterizing and modeling patterns of deforestation and agricultural extensification in the Ecuadorian Amazon. In, Linking People, Place, and Policy: A GIScience Approach, S.J. Walsh and K.A. Crews-Meyers eds. Norwell, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers. McDonnell WF, P.W. Stewart, M.V. Smith, W. Pan, and J. Pan (1999) “Ozone-induced Respiratory Symptoms: Exposure-Response Models and Association with Lung Function.” European Respiratory Journal, 14: 845-853.
Recent Invited Talks / Presentations Pan, W. and D.L. Carr (2004). “Determinants of farm fragmentation in the Ecuadorian Amazon.” Conference for Latin American Geographers, Antigua, Guatemala. May 19-22.Pan, W., A. Barbieri, R.E. Bilsborrow (2003). “Land use transitions in Ecuador’s Northern Amazon: Multilevel and spatial factors.” International Workshop on Transitions in Agriculture and Future Land Use Patterns, Wageningen, The Netherlands. November 30-December 3.Pan, W. and D.L. Carr (2003). “Multilevel factors influencing land use change in the Ecuadorian Amazon.” Presented at the International Young Scientists’ Global Change Conference, Trieste, Italy. November 16-21.Pan, W. and D.L. Carr (2003). “Multilevel factors influencing births on the Ecuadorian Amazon Frontier.” Presented at the Population Association of America 2003 Annual Meeting. Minneapolis, MN. Pan, W. and R.E. Bilsborrow (2003). “Multilevel statistical models to assess factors influencing land use: A case study in the Ecuadorian Amazon.” Presented at the Population Association of America 2003 Annual Meeting. Minneapolis, MN. Pan, W. and D.L. Carr (2002). “Links between Fertility, Farm Size and Land Use on the Frontier: Evidence from the Ecuadorian Amazon”. Presented at the American Public Health Association 2002 Annual Meeting. Philadelphia, PA. Carr, D. L. and W. Pan (2002). “Fertility Determinants on the Frontier: Longitudinal Evidence from the Ecuadorian Amazon.” International Geographic Union. Durban, South Africa. August 4-7.
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